Models
Models that fire on YM. Each card links to the canonical model page (universal copy + per-contract stats where available). See the full model catalog for everything.
TRIPLE — Consensus Scoring
Meta-model that aggregates votes from all 12 sub-models using empirical hit-rate priors, tier weights, and multiplicative regime factors. v2 (priors-based) beats the original W-formula by Brier −15% / log-loss −18%.
OB RANGE (BULL / BEAR / MID / STRETCH)
NY opening-range box (09:30–10:30 ET). Where price sits relative to the box midpoint at 10:30 projects the rest of the session. OB BULL/BEAR carry real +18–21pt close-direction edge.
AMD
Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution. Asia establishes range, London sweeps one side, NY trades toward the opposite. Tier 1 touch magnet — 65% within 120 min.
PRELON SWEEP CONTINUATION
Pre-London (00:00–02:00 ET) sweeps an Asia extreme → London continues past it. 81% UP / 75.6% DN when Asia range is tight. Fires ~62% of days.
SB CONTINUATION
Silver Bullet window (10:00–11:00 ET) aligned with W1 (9:30 first candle) → 85.8% close same direction. The single strongest close-direction signal in the stack.
SB BRK
Post-11 break of the 10:00–10:59 Silver Bullet range. Independent directional signal — 73% bull / 69% bear close-through.
PRELON IB
Pre-London Initial Balance (00:00–02:00 ET). Strong bull / bear confluence scores project which IB extreme gets swept during London, with extension targets beyond.
HCS REVERSAL
At 9:30 snapshot, extremes of a 4-filter Herman Confluence Score fade. Score −4 → reach long 166pt (81% touch); score +4 → fade short. Best R:R on the board.
PRE 02-08
Pre-RTH range (02:00–08:00 ET) projects the day's first magnet. Whichever extreme prints LAST in pre-market gets touched by the 16:00 close 83–87% of the time on MNQ.
iFVG (Inverse Fair Value Gap)
A 3-bar imbalance gap that gets re-tested in the opposite direction. The base retest fires across 1m/5m/15m/1h timeframes; the STK GOLD tier uses per-(timeframe, symbol) structural targets (SESS_HL, PMH/PML, LON_HL, MN_OPEN). Canonical real-pnl shows escalating per-trade economics from 1m → 1h: pooled +$0.68/tr → +$60.56/tr after $4 commission, with MNQ at +$124/tr at 1h.
Order Block
Last opposite-color candle before a strong displacement leg. Returns are treated as institutional re-entry zones — the bull OB acts as support, the bear OB as resistance.
Prior Week High / Low — Break & Retest
Weekly liquidity raid: price breaks the prior week's high or low, then returns to retest that level as new support/resistance. Highest-quality break-retest pattern in the stack.
Power of 3 — Range Bull / Bear
ICT's classic three-phase day cycle: tight Accumulation → liquidity Manipulation (stop-run) → Distribution in the opposite direction. Day-thesis driver when the accumulation is genuinely tight.
JUDAS REVERSAL
Pre-NY 08:00–09:30 sweep of overnight accumulation grabs liquidity, then reclaims back inside the range. Fade on the reclaim, time-exit at 09:30. Strongest universal cohort in the system: 7/7 symbols, 6/6 years, 67–77% WR at +1.04 to +1.26 ExpR.
1H CRT
Candle Range Theory on the 1H timeframe: hour sweeps prior 1H extreme, closes back in body, next move targets opposite liquidity. Recalibrated against true-CRT hit rate. The GOLDEN tier (PDF Soup-Room filter) layers a key-level proximity gate on top — hr=9 SHORT lifts to 78%, hr=2 SHORT to 65%.
INSIDE GAP FILL
RTH opens inside prior day's range but ≥10pt from prior close. Target prior_rth_close. Fill rate scales cleanly with gap_ratio: 77% mild, 53% moderate, 33% elevated.
R1617 FADE
Build the 16:00–16:59 ET RTH-close range. At 18:00, note the starting side of mid. First Asia-hours touch of mid from that side → fade back 15 points.
LON MOMENTUM BULL
Fresh, tight London sweep of Asia high — enter long near session VWAP, target +60pt. PM line on our chart HUD.
PDH / PDL Touch
Prior day's high and low act as touch magnets during today's session. Pure level-touch tracker — the simplest model in the dataset, used as confluence input to the consensus scorer.
Gap Fill
When today's RTH open prints outside yesterday's range, price tends to revisit the prior settlement before continuing. Outside-day variant; complements the inside-gap variant.
IPDA 20-Day High / Low
Rolling 20-session swing extremes function as macro liquidity targets — the longer-horizon version of PDH/PDL. Slower but very reliable when price sits within reach.
Midnight Open Fill
The 00:00 ET print acts as a same-session magnet — price tends to revisit it during RTH. Highest fill rate of any reference level we track. Killed when MN HOLD-SIDE is active.
Monday Range — High / Low Fill
Monday's RTH high and low frame the trading week. Tue–Fri sessions tend to retest one or both extremes, with sweeps at those levels often setting up reversals.
Asia Bucket Sweep
Asia session (20:00–02:00 ET) builds a tight bucket; London open often runs one extreme as a stop-run, then reverses through the bucket toward the opposite side.
Day-of-Week Projection
Empirical weekday biases — Monday and Tuesday extend, Thursday tends to reverse — projected as ±1 × ATR14 from the open. Prior-only model, used as a confluence input.
Pre-Market Fill Windows
Pre-RTH half-hour windows form mini-ranges; the high and low of each window get retested before RTH open about 65% of the time.
Hourly Reversal Range
When an hourly bar closes with an outsized range (≥ 1.5 × ATR60), the next hour mean-reverts to its midpoint about 65% of the time.